|
Iowa Potential Republican Electorate* |
Tossup including those who are undecided yet leaning toward a candidate |
Newt Gingrich |
Mitt Romney |
Michele Bachmann |
Rick Santorum |
Jon Huntsman |
Herman Cain |
Ron Paul |
Rick Perry |
Undecided |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Row % |
Iowa Potential Republican Electorate* |
25% |
18% |
5% |
4% |
2% |
9% |
16% |
9% |
11% |
Tea Party Supporters |
31% |
13% |
5% |
6% |
2% |
13% |
16% |
9% |
6% |
Intensity of Tea Party Support |
Strongly support Tea Party |
39% |
7% |
6% |
10% |
1% |
14% |
14% |
6% |
4% |
Support Tea Party |
26% |
16% |
5% |
3% |
2% |
13% |
18% |
10% |
7% |
Does not support Tea Party |
21% |
23% |
3% |
3% |
2% |
6% |
17% |
10% |
15% |
Political Ideology |
Liberal-Moderate |
14% |
22% |
5% |
2% |
3% |
9% |
18% |
13% |
13% |
Conservative |
32% |
19% |
4% |
4% |
2% |
8% |
16% |
7% |
10% |
Very conservative |
29% |
10% |
9% |
6% |
0% |
12% |
14% |
9% |
11% |
Past Participation** |
Yes |
25% |
19% |
5% |
7% |
1% |
9% |
18% |
7% |
9% |
No |
25% |
18% |
5% |
1% |
2% |
9% |
15% |
12% |
13% |
Candidate Support |
Strongly support |
28% |
20% |
4% |
4% |
2% |
10% |
24% |
7% |
0% |
Somewhat support |
28% |
20% |
6% |
5% |
2% |
14% |
13% |
12% |
0% |
Might vote differently |
26% |
23% |
5% |
4% |
3% |
7% |
18% |
13% |
0% |
Most Important Quality |
Shares your values |
15% |
14% |
7% |
7% |
1% |
13% |
17% |
12% |
14% |
Is closest to you on the issues |
22% |
14% |
5% |
4% |
2% |
9% |
23% |
10% |
10% |
Can beat President Obama in 2012 |
39% |
26% |
4% |
3% |
3% |
9% |
8% |
3% |
5% |
Has the experience to govern |
30% |
23% |
2% |
1% |
2% |
5% |
12% |
12% |
13% |
Gender |
Men |
27% |
17% |
3% |
5% |
1% |
11% |
18% |
9% |
8% |
Women |
22% |
19% |
7% |
3% |
2% |
7% |
14% |
10% |
16% |
Age |
Under 45 |
20% |
15% |
5% |
5% |
2% |
12% |
22% |
9% |
11% |
45 or older |
29% |
21% |
5% |
3% |
2% |
7% |
12% |
10% |
12% |
Age |
18 to 29 |
11% |
15% |
6% |
6% |
3% |
3% |
31% |
13% |
11% |
30 to 44 |
26% |
15% |
4% |
4% |
1% |
19% |
14% |
6% |
10% |
45 to 59 |
28% |
18% |
5% |
4% |
2% |
9% |
14% |
11% |
9% |
60 or older |
30% |
24% |
4% |
2% |
2% |
6% |
10% |
8% |
15% |
Region |
Eastern Cities |
28% |
20% |
5% |
7% |
1% |
8% |
18% |
7% |
7% |
East Central |
20% |
17% |
2% |
2% |
3% |
15% |
15% |
13% |
13% |
Central |
25% |
21% |
4% |
4% |
3% |
8% |
16% |
7% |
10% |
West |
26% |
14% |
8% |
3% |
0% |
7% |
16% |
11% |
15% |
Household Income |
Less than $75,000 |
23% |
16% |
6% |
5% |
3% |
10% |
17% |
9% |
10% |
$75,000 or more |
32% |
21% |
4% |
3% |
1% |
7% |
15% |
8% |
9% |
Evangelical Christians |
29% |
15% |
7% |
6% |
1% |
11% |
10% |
10% |
12% |
Mormons are Christians |
Yes |
25% |
23% |
6% |
3% |
2% |
8% |
15% |
9% |
9% |
No-Unsure |
24% |
13% |
4% |
5% |
1% |
11% |
18% |
10% |
14% |
Education |
Not college graduate |
23% |
17% |
7% |
3% |
2% |
9% |
17% |
11% |
12% |
College graduate |
28% |
20% |
2% |
5% |
2% |
9% |
16% |
7% |
11% |
Follow College Football |
A great deal-A good amount |
26% |
22% |
2% |
3% |
2% |
9% |
15% |
11% |
9% |
A little-Not at all |
23% |
15% |
7% |
4% |
2% |
9% |
17% |
9% |
14% |
Interview Type |
Landline |
28% |
19% |
5% |
4% |
1% |
10% |
13% |
9% |
12% |
Cell Phone |
18% |
17% |
4% |
5% |
3% |
7% |
23% |
11% |
11% |
NBC News/Marist Poll Iowa Potential Republican Electorate. Interviews conducted November 27th through 29th, 2011, N=916 MOE +/- 3.2%. Totals may not add to 100% due to rounding. *The potential Republican electorate in Iowa includes all Republicans and voters planning to participate in the Republican presidential caucus. **Past participation refers to previous participation in an Iowa Republican Presidential Caucus. |